Wednesday, June 04, 2008

Death rates in Iraq vs. US

Suppose the following imaginary study: A cohort of American men and women living in the US are chosen to match the characteristics of the equivalent group of soldiers in Iraq/Afghanistan. Over a one-year period the death rates of the two groups are compared, and it is hypothetically found that the death rates of the US-bound cohort are actually higher than that of the group in Iraq. The US cohort had a higher death rate due to drugs, car accidents, shootings, and the other usual issues that abound among the young everywhere.

So it might turn out that there are FEWER deaths in the military overseas than in the equivalent group in the US, meaning that military service might prove to be safer than young people left on their own here. If that were the case, would your (or my) position regarding the "war" in Iraq change? In other words, would your position regarding the appropriateness of the Iraq war change if it developed that young people were actually safer there than here? Why would it? Or why wouldn't it?

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